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When It Comes To Market Predictions, Fear Sells

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by  Erik Conley

We see the headlines every day:   “Bond Market Ready To Crash” “Debt Bubble Even Worse Than Housing Bubble” “European Crisis Will Cripple US” “China On Verge Of Economic Meltdown” “Get Ready For ...

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How Emotions Can Kill Your Portfolio Returns

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by  Erik Conley

Much of our current understanding of economic theory is based on the belief that investors always behave in a rational way, and that all of the relevant information about the economy, the stock ...

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It's Time To "Get Real" With Your Investment Approach

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by  Erik Conley

Introduction to Critical Thinking and how top investors use it.   Marketwatch published a guest comment yesterday that I thought was a good introduction to the concept of using critical thinking skills to ...

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How Accurate Are Predictions By Experts?

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by  Erik Conley

In his 2005 book  “Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?” Philip Tetlock painstakingly tracked the predictions of 284 so-called experts in the fields of politics and economics in order ...

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How Important Is Unbiased Information?

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by  Erik Conley

Information Sources If you want to be a successful investor, it’s absolutely essential that you find sources of information that are accurate, and advice that is truthful. We define truth as the absence ...

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