Category Archives for "Market Commentary"

Why It’s So Important to Avoid Bear Markets

Have you drunk the buy-and-hold Kool-Aid? If so, don’t worry – it might be the best approach for you. After all, when Warren Buffett endorses a strategy, how bad could it be? This article shines a light on a significant flaw in the entire premise of buy-and-hold as a universally superior strategy. What’s the big […]

Continue reading

The Jason Voorhees Market: Nothing can stop it

jason

The late, great Marty Zweig said “Don’t fight the tape.” And fans of the Halloween movie franchise say “Don’t assume that just because you shot Jason Voorhees 17 times, he will stay down for long.” This bull market isn’t dead yet. It is showing signs of fatigue, but as long as it keeps making new […]

Continue reading

Game Plan for Next Week – September 2, 2017

the clash

The question many of you are asking yourselves these days was nicely captured by The Clash:“Should I Stay or Should I Go?If I go, there will be troubleAnd if I stay it will be double.One day it’s fine and next it’s black.This indecision’s bugging me…”The Game PlanThis bull market is now the second-longest on record. […]

Continue reading

Weekly Market Scorecard – August 6, 2017

market scoreboard

Do you consider yourself a market bull, or a market bear? Many of us will dodge this question by answering “I’m neutral.” The direction of the market is ultimately determined by the immutable laws of supply and demand. If the bullish camp is more confident and aggressive, they will overwhelm the bears and drive prices […]

Continue reading

My Personal Market Dashboard

My personal market dashboard is invaluable to me. It’s both my GPS and my BS detector. I designed it in a way that forces me to confront the facts on the ground, so that my writing doesn’t drift too far from reality. A little backround I have been captivated by the capital markets since I […]

Continue reading

Weekly Market Scorecard – July 22, 2017

Highlights The post-election rally is still intact, and making new highs. The S&P 500 is up 15% since the election, and probably has more upside. Investor optimism is high, but so are the risks of a negative geopolitical event. Most industries that got a big boost post-election have now given it all back. Barron’s Editorial […]

Continue reading

Can A Sector Rotation Strategy Beat The Market?

sector rotation 3 wk

We look at how sectors move, relative to the market and to each other. The return behavior of sectors over time offers investors valuable information. This relative return behavior gives us clues about shifting market leadership. How you allocate equity exposure among sectors is a key driver of portfolio performance.  Introduction A popular approach among […]

Continue reading

Weekly Market Scorecard – June 24, 2017

market scoreboard

Highlights The post-election rally is still intact, but losing steam. The S&P 500 is up 14% since the election The Dow, S&P, and NASDAQ are all making new highs. Investor optimism is still high, but starting to waver a bit. A correction of 10% or so would probably be good for this overstretched market.   […]

Continue reading

Barron’s Highlights In Less Than 2-Minutes

Highlights from Barron’s newspaper dated June 5, 2017.  See online edition here ($) Introduction For the serious investor, Barron’s weekly newspaper is the single best financial publication out there. It is comprehensive, inexpensive, and focused on a single topic: the financial markets. Each issue is loaded with specific investment ideas. These ideas can come from […]

Continue reading
1 2 3 11