November 11, 2022

In today's issue of the 1-Minute Market Report I examine the market bounce since the October low, and highlight the areas of the market that are leading the way higher.

The bounce.

This chart highlights the 10.6% bounce from the October 12 low point. This is the strongest rally we've seen since the 17% move from June 16 to August 16. 

11-0 market bounce

The Market Stats

Here is a look at the stats for Thursday, November 10, and year-to-date. On Thursday, for every stock that was down, there were 26 that were up. For the first time since August, there were more new highs than new lows.

11-10 market stats

Major asset class performance.

Here is a look at the performance of the major asset classes for Thursday and year-to-date. European stocks have gained the most since the October low, followed by the small-cap Russell 2000 and the large-cap S&P 500 index.

Commodities, blockchain, and volatility are struggling to get off the ground. Bonds and gold both show signs of upward momentum.

11-10 asset class performance

Equity sector performance

For this report I use the expanded sectors as published by Zacks. They use 16 sectors rather than the standard 11. The defense contractors like Lockheed, Boeing, and Raytheon are leading the way higher, followed by financials, industrials, and materials. 

Retailers, consumer stocks, and communication services are lagging behind.

11-10 market sector performance

Equity group performance

For the groups, I separate the stocks in the S&P 1500 Composite Index by shared characteristics like growth, value, size, cyclical, defensive, and domestic vs. foreign.

Defensive names in healthcare, staples, and utilities are leading the way higher, along with Europe and value names.

The top 7 stocks by market cap (big tech names, like Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet) enjoyed a strong up move today, but are still by far the worst performing equity group year-to-date. 

11-10 equity group performance

Thursday's 10 best performing stocks

11-10 winners

The 10 worst performing stocks on Thursday

11-10 losers

Final thoughts

Today's market rally was a big deal, historically and psychologically. Of the 18,300 trading days since 1950, today was the 15th biggest gainer. That puts it in the top one-tenth of 1%. 

Investor confidence was boosted by the cooler-than-expected inflation report. At this point it looks like the worst of this spike in prices is behind us.  That takes some pressure off of the Fed, and allows them to slow the pace of rate hikes going forward. When investors begin to anticipate that the next move in rates will be lower, I think it will be safe to say that the bottom of this bear market is in. 

I'll leave you with a list of the best 15 days in the market. See the last row for clues about what may lie ahead.

11-10 big moves

About the author 

Erik Conley

Former head of equity trading, Northern Trust Bank, Chicago. Teacher, trainer, mentor, market historian, and perpetual student of all things related to the stock market and excellence in investing.

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