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Critical Thinking Skills

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Do Factor-Based ETFs Beat the Market

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by  Erik Conley

The answer is a qualified yes. Qualified by the time frame you're looking at. Today there are more than 100 different factors on offer by the Investment Industrial Complex, most of which are ...

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My Interview With a Man from Mars

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by  Erik Conley

Recently I sat down with ManMar to get his views on our markets. Below is the unedited transcript of that interview. Erik: Thanks for coming in. I’m sure it was a long trip ...

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Bayesian Inference and Stock Market Predictions

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by  Erik Conley

It has come to my attention that some of my readers are wondering if I'm too bearish on the stock market.It's understandable in light of my recent articles describing a possible market melt-up. ...

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Can Asset Bubbles Be Predicted With Enough Accuracy For Investors To Earn Superior Returns

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by  Erik Conley

According to a 2017 study by Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You from Harvard University Business School, the answer is yes. The study, titled Bubbles for Fama, reached 4 main conclusions:   ...

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How Do We Make Sense of this Cockamamie Market

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by  Erik Conley

We made a new high today. (yay!) What does it mean for the future direction of stock prices? If you're an optimist it means that there are clear skies ahead and there's no ...

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