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Critical Thinking Skills

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Bayesian Inference and Stock Market Predictions

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by  Erik Conley

It has come to my attention that some of my readers are wondering if I'm too bearish on the stock market. It's understandable in light of my recent articles describing a possible market ...

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Can Asset Bubbles Be Predicted With Enough Accuracy For Investors To Earn Superior Returns

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by  Erik Conley

According to a 2017 study by Robin Greenwood, Andrei Shleifer, and Yang You from Harvard University Business School, the answer is yes. The study, titled Bubbles for Fama, reached 4 main conclusions:   ...

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How Do We Make Sense of this Cockamamie Market

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by  Erik Conley

We made a new high today. (yay!) What does it mean for the future direction of stock prices? If you're an optimist it means that there are clear skies ahead and there's no ...

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What the Bible and Abraham Lincoln Can Teach Us About Investing

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by  Erik Conley

In the Gospel of Mark 3:25, Jesus states, "And if a house be divided against itself, that house cannot stand." That is in response to the scribes' claim that "by the prince of ...

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The Survivors Guide to the Stock Market

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by  Erik Conley

Rule No. 1: Never lose money.  Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No. 1. -Warren Buffett  Buffett personally lost about $2.3 billion in the financial crisis of 2008, and his company, Berkshire Hathaway, lost its revered ...

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