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by Erik Conley
A Recession Forecast Overlay That Boosts Returns by Cutting Risk Getting up to speed This is the fourth part of a series on avoiding bear markets, and how important it is for an ...
by Erik Conley
How to Increase Your Odds of Winning at the Investment Game Summary Stock market strategy can be understood using game theory. The players in this game have widely different skill sets. Profits flow ...
by Erik Conley
Are you paying for useless advice? False experts, the “Hot-Hand Fallacy”, and the “Law of Small Numbers.” Can people be fooled into believing in a non-existent expert? If so, will they then pay ...
by Erik Conley
What are the chances that a new bear market is imminent? I’ve seen a spike in the number of calls from clients asking this question. It’s a fair question, and one that deserves ...
by Erik Conley
Lyrics from the song “Vasoline” by STP: One time a thing occurred to me What’s real and what’s for sale? Search for things that you can’t see Going blind, out of reach Somewhere ...
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