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Market Commentary

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The Stock Market Bubble Is About To Burst

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by  Erik Conley

It's no secret that the stock market has been in a bubble for quite some time now. The question is, when will it burst? For you died-in-the-wool buy & holders, it shouldn't matter.

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The 10 most Lucrative Businesses in the World

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by  Erik Conley

There are two economies in the world. The visible economy that governments track, tax, and report on. And then there's the shadow, or black market economy that escapes the rule of law, the

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How To Use Bayes’ Theorem To Forecast The Stock Market

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by  Erik Conley

Thomas Bayes(1701-1761) was an English statistician, philosopher and Presbyterian minister who is known for formulating a specific case of the theorem that bears his name: Bayes' theorem. His contributions to math, probability, and

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My Thoughts on the Market and the Economy

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by  Erik Conley

Running out of steam?The S&P 500 rally looks like it’s running out of steam. We’re still in a golden cross configuration (A golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average is above the

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Asset Class Performance Comparison 2005-2024

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by  Erik Conley

Here's a thought experiment that will test your knowledge of which types of investments (asset classes) have produced the biggest gains for investors over the last 20 years. Imagine for a moment that

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The Stock Market Bubble Is About To Burst


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Two Brothers, Two Paths


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Investing For Effect


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