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Market Commentary

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How To Use Bayes’ Theorem To Forecast The Stock Market

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by  Erik Conley

Thomas Bayes(1701-1761) was an English statistician, philosopher and Presbyterian minister who is known for formulating a specific case of the theorem that bears his name: Bayes' theorem. His contributions to math, probability, and ...

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My Thoughts on the Market and the Economy

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by  Erik Conley

Running out of steam? The S&P 500 rally looks like it’s running out of steam. We’re still in a golden cross configuration (A golden cross occurs when the 50-day moving average is above ...

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Asset Class Performance Comparison 2005-2024

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by  Erik Conley

Here's a thought experiment that will test your knowledge of which types of investments (asset classes) have produced the biggest gains for investors over the last 20 years. Imagine for a moment that ...

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The 1-Minute Market Report June 8, 2025

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by  Erik Conley

In this brief market report, we look at the various asset classes, sectors, equity categories, ETFs, and stocks that moved the market higher and those that moved lower. The idea is to identify ...

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The 1-Minute Market Report June 1, 2025

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by  Erik Conley

In this brief market report, we look at the various asset classes, sectors, equity categories, ETFs, and stocks that moved the market higher and those that moved lower. The idea is to identify ...

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