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by Erik Conley
It has been 41 months since the recession watch model triggered an alert. The last one took the model from 40% probability of a recession within the next 6 months, to 55% probability. ...
by Erik Conley
“Once more unto the breach, dear friends, once more; Or close the wall up with our English dead! In peace there’s nothing so becomes a man As modest stillness and humility: But when ...
by Erik Conley
As usual, global stock and currency markets are in freefall after the surprise Brexit vote. Should you sell your stocks, mutual funds, and ETFs? No. It’s too late for that. The S&P 500 ...
by Erik Conley
Stock market outlook Chart 1Â below shows the track of the S&P 500 for the last 12 months. The green line is set at the previously recorded high water mark of 2,130, which ...
by Erik Conley
If real estate is all about location, location, location… then the stock market is all about earnings, earnings, earnings. What drives the market is the growth of earnings from one quarter to the ...
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