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  • The Zen Alpha Portfolio

Recessions and the business cycle

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A Deep Dive Into Past Recessions

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by  Erik Conley

Nobody Knows Squat The world is in uncharted territory, and nobody knows squat about how things are going to unfold over the next few months. Maybe the pandemic will run its course by ...

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Why an Inverted Yield Curve is Important

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by  Erik Conley

An inverted yield curve happens when short-term interest rates become higher than long-term rates. For this article I will use the 10 year Treasury note for the long-term rate and the Fed Funds ...

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ZenInvestor Intelligence Report – June 2018

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by  Erik Conley

“Come, Watson, come. The game is afoot! Not a word!” From The Return of Sherlock Holmes by Arthur Conan Doyle The ZenInvestor Intelligence Report is a monthly publication for subscribers who want two ...

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The Next Recession is Now in Sight

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by  Erik Conley

The next recession is coming, but not for at least 6 months. As many of you know, I maintain an econometric model that is designed to forecast the onset of recessions and the ...

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