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by Erik Conley
A Recession Forecast Overlay That Boosts Returns by Cutting Risk Getting up to speed This is the fourth part of a series on avoiding bear markets, and how important it is for an ...
by Erik Conley
How to Increase Your Odds of Winning at the Investment Game Summary Stock market strategy can be understood using game theory. The players in this game have widely different skill sets. Profits flow ...
by Erik Conley
Are you paying for useless advice? False experts, the “Hot-Hand Fallacy”, and the “Law of Small Numbers.” Can people be fooled into believing in a non-existent expert? If so, will they then pay ...
by Erik Conley
There were clear winners & losers in the 1st quarter of 2017. Your performance depends on where you placed your bets. If you bet on Trump making the stock market great again, you ...
by Erik Conley
Weekly Market Scorecard – March 24, 2017 The post-election rally is still intact, but a little wobbly right now. The S&P 500 is up 9.6% since the election. Trump’s political capital has taken ...
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