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Behavioral Investing

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Does the stock market really predict the future?

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by  Erik Conley

One of the oldest axioms of stock market investing is that the market is efficient when it comes to predicting the future. The market is forward-looking, and it tells investors what to expect ...

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Can the spending of the richest 1% make up for the non-spending of the 99%?

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by  Erik Conley

One of the burning questions on the minds of economists these days is whether or not the top 1% of wealth owners can carry the economy solely on their backs, or do we ...

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Are You Optimistic or Pessimistic About The Future?

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by  Erik Conley

Here are the key points of disagreement in the never-ending debate between optimists and pessimists, bulls and bears. Based on these observations, and on our evaluation of the leading economic indicators, we believe ...

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Are You Sitting On The Sidelines?

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by  Erik Conley

For more than two years now, a large number of investors have been on the sidelines while the S&P 500 has doubled in value. To get a sense of just how much cash ...

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Bear Markets and Business Cycles

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by  Erik Conley

In this section we take a look at the returns that would be captured by a hypothetical investor using various investment plans. We start with a table showing the economic recessions (business cycles ...

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Most recent posts

Know Your Risk Exposure – Volatility And Drawdowns Measure Different Things


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There Are Signs That A Market Top May Be Forming


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No, The Market Is Not Getting Cheaper


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Nobody Knows Nothin’


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Where The Money Is Going And Where It’s Coming From


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Why Does The Stock Market Keep Going Up?


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