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Situational Awareness

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A Proven Way to Avoid Bear Markets – part 4

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by  Erik Conley

A Recession Forecast Overlay That Boosts Returns by Cutting Risk Getting up to speed This is the fourth part of a series on avoiding bear markets, and how important it is for an ...

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What are the chances that a new bear market is imminent?

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by  Erik Conley

What are the chances that a new bear market is imminent? I’ve seen a spike in the number of calls from clients asking this question. It’s a fair question, and one that deserves ...

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The Link Between The Stock Market and The Business Cycle

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by  Erik Conley

The Link Between The Stock Market and The Business Cycle How Situational Awareness Can Significantly Boost Portfolio Returns Market crashes, corrections, and bears are the bane of every investor – with two exceptions. ...

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How To Prepare Your Portfolio For The Next Recession

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by  Erik Conley

Although my models show that there is no recession on the horizon for at least the next 6 months, it’s always a good idea to be prepared for one.  Here are some simple ...

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Bear Markets and Business Cycles

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by  Erik Conley

In this section we take a look at the returns that would be captured by a hypothetical investor using various investment plans. We start with a table showing the economic recessions (business cycles ...

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